Thursday night in East Rutherford, and the sims like the home side by six
Thursday, 8:15 PM ET: Washington Commanders at New York Giants. The GameSim projection is New York 25.8, Washington 19.5, across 1,000 simulations. Six points at home on a Thursday night is a real statement, and the model is making it with a straight face.
The projected stats are headlined by J.J. McCarthy at 264.5 passing yards and 1.7 touchdowns for the Giants, with Malik Nabers at 92.3 receiving yards and Cam Skattebo at 80.1 rushing yards in support. Washington's answer, per the sims, is Jayden Daniels at 207.1 passing yards and 1.1 touchdowns, plus 46.0 yards on the ground, with Stefon Diggs at 55.1 receiving yards.
My take: the Giants do not need a perfect night to win a game the sims already have them taking by six, they just need McCarthy to be McCarthy and the home crowd to do its part. Washington flips this one by turning it into a Daniels game, letting him make plays with his legs and keeping the Giants offense off the field. If Nabers gets loose early, the model looks cautious. If Washington makes it ugly, nobody who ran the sims will be surprised.
GameSim line: New York by six over Washington.
All scores above are MyGameSim projections from the simulations run so far, and the game has not been played yet. Run your own sims, check the totals and projected stats, and tell me where the model is wrong tonight.
