Monday night in Minnesota, and the sims like the home team by more than a field goal
Monday, 8:15 PM ET: Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings. The GameSim projection is Minnesota 26.9, Buffalo 22.7, across 1,160 simulations. The Vikings at home under the lights, favored by 4.2 on Monday Night Football.
My take: this is the game the whole Monday slate has been building toward, and the sims are not hedging. Minnesota by more than a field goal at home is a real call, not a coin flip, and it comes a night after the same format called the Bears game almost exactly, Chicago 27-24 against a 28.8 to 24.1 projection. If the Vikings hold serve tonight, the sims close the weekend looking sharp. If Buffalo steals one in Minnesota, it is the upset that rewrites the whole Monday story.
Projected stats to watch: Josh Allen 227.0 passing yards and James Cook III 124.5 rushing yards for Buffalo, Carson Wentz 222.9 passing yards and Aaron Jones Sr. 113.1 rushing yards for Minnesota.
One number to watch: the sims have this one at 49.6 combined points, so if you like offense after dark, this is your game. Run your own sims before kickoff and tell me where the model is wrong.
GameSim line: Minnesota by 4.2 over Buffalo.
All scores above are MyGameSim projections from the simulations run so far, and the game has not been played yet. Run your own sims, check the totals and projected stats, and tell me where the model is wrong tonight.
