February 7, 2026, promises to be an electrifying day for college basketball fans as several marquee matchups are set to unfold across the nation. Each game carries its own narrative, packed with high stakes and intense rivalries. Let’s dive into what makes these clashes so compelling.
Illinois vs. Michigan State
The Big Ten showdown between the Illinois Fighting Illini and the Michigan State Spartans is more than just a clash of top 15 teams. It's a battle of wills and star power. Illinois, ranked fourth, faces a Michigan State squad ranked 13th, with the latter having a slight edge according to our simulations.
Our model predicts a nail-biting 73.3 to 72.4 victory for Michigan State, giving them a 51% win probability. This razor-thin margin reflects the true toss-up nature of this contest, with both teams boasting players who can change the game in an instant. Watch out for Illinois' Keaton Wagler, projected to score 14.7 points, while Michigan State's Jeremy Fears Jr. is expected to lead his team with 13.1 points and 6.1 assists. Spartan Jaxon Kohler could potentially dominate the boards, projected for 9.8 rebounds.
Duke vs. UNC
What’s a college basketball season without a classic Duke-UNC rivalry? This storied matchup never fails to deliver drama, and this year is no different. The Duke Blue Devils, sitting at an impressive #2, take on the #20 North Carolina Tar Heels in what promises to be a high-scoring affair.
Duke is favored with a 55% chance of victory, with our simulations predicting an 80.3 to 76.1 outcome. The key to Duke's potential success lies in the hands of Cameron Boozer, who is projected to notch 22 points and pull down 10.6 rebounds. UNC's Caleb Wilson will be pivotal for the Tar Heels as he aims to counter with his projected 18.4 points and 9.6 rebounds.
Houston vs. BYU
Meanwhile, the Cougars of BYU are set to host the Houston Cougars in a battle of the big cats. BYU, ranked 19th, will be looking to make a statement against the 6th-ranked Houston team. This game is predicted to be another close one, with BYU favored to win 81.0 to 76.1.
BYU holds a 56% win probability, largely due to their home-court advantage and balanced attack. Houston will rely on their defensive prowess and perimeter shooting to keep it close. This encounter could very well hinge on second-chance opportunities and the ability of Houston to stymie BYU’s offensive flow.
For those eager to dive deeper into player stats and game predictions, GameSim+ offers exclusive detailed projections. Don't miss out on the chance to upgrade your insights by visiting our GameSim+ subscription page.
