Wake Forest opens as a 13.5 point favorite over Utah State - SCACCHoops.com

Wake Forest opens as a 13.5 point favorite over Utah State

by Riley Johnston

Posted: 9/11/2017 10:30:42 AM


The Deacs are looking to get to 3-0 in back-to-back years for the first time since the Truman Administration

Fresh off of a 34-10 road victory over Atlantic Division foe Boston College, the Wake Forest Demon Deacons now will face the Utah State Aggies on Homecoming Weekend on Saturday in Winston-Salem at 3 PM. According to the minds that be in Vegas, the Demon Deacons opened up as a 13.5 point favorite over the 1-1 Aggies.

The line has already been pushed up to -15, which is a rather significant number since it pushes the spread over two touchdowns.

According to the Sagarin Predictor, Wake Forest is approximately a 20 point favorite after applying home field advantage. While Football Study Hall does not come out until Wednesday, I would expect that number to be lower than Sagarin, but likely right around the two touchdown mark.

The Aggies lost its opener to Wisconsin 59-10 (despite being up 10-0 at one point), before thrashing FCS foe Idaho State 51-13 this weekend.

Before the season Wake was projected to be a 65% favorite at around a touchdown spread, but the Deacs have overachieved a lot based on what was expected, moving up 15 spots in the S&P Rankings already. This has pushed the expected margin out quite a bit.

My guess would be the line rises a bit more to get to around -17 before falling back to settle around -15/-15.5 by game time.

For those wondering, Wake Forest is 23-2 as a double-digit favorite since 1997 (the two losses came against Navy in 2008, and 1998 vs. Virginia). While it is a toss-up as to whether or not Wake will beat the spread, the Deacs usually perform very well when favored by this much (as do most teams).

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