October 24 brings three ranked-on-ranked college football tests, with the Big Ten taking center stage as No. 3 Indiana heads to No. 19 Michigan. The Hoosiers carry the higher ranking, but a road game against a ranked conference opponent leaves little room to coast. GameSim gives Indiana a 62% win probability across 680 simulations, projecting a 29.4-21.0 result. That forecast makes the visitors the model’s choice, while still leaving Michigan a meaningful opportunity to turn the matchup into a tense afternoon.
The quarterback projections point to a contest where both teams could find the end zone through the air. Indiana’s Josh Hoover is projected for 218.7 passing yards and 2.2 touchdowns; Michigan’s Bryce Underwood is close behind at 217.2 yards and 1.6 passing scores. The Hoosiers also have two ground options projected for substantial contributions: Turbo Richard at 70.6 rushing yards and Lee Beebe at 69.0, with Beebe forecast for 0.9 touchdowns. See the full Indiana-Michigan prediction.
BYU and UCF bring another ranked Big 12 test
No. 6 BYU travels to No. 24 BYU-UCF prediction page has the full matchup outlook.
LSU-Auburn adds an SEC ranking duel
In the day’s other ranked pairing, No. 15 LSU visits No. 16 Auburn. The model’s projection is emphatic: Auburn 38.7, LSU 19.5, with a 77% win probability for the Tigers. That is a striking forecast for a matchup between teams separated by just one spot in the rankings, and it makes Auburn’s projected offensive balance a central talking point.
Auburn quarterback Byrum Brown is projected for 248.6 passing yards and 3.1 passing touchdowns, plus 105.3 rushing yards and 1.3 scores on the ground. LSU’s Sam Leavitt is forecast for 258.1 passing yards and 1.4 touchdowns. Auburn’s Jeremiah Cobb adds a projected 76.3 rushing yards and 0.9 touchdowns. Explore the LSU-Auburn prediction for the complete model breakdown.
From Indiana-Michigan’s top-five spotlight to two more ranked conference tests, this slate offers three different reads on how rankings translate on the field. Detailed projected player stats for all games are available exclusively to GameSim+ subscribers. Learn more and subscribe to GameSim+.
