FSU and Auburn will face each other tonight in the BCS National Championship and Game Sim is here to tell you what will happen. If you want a prediction, scroll to the bottom.
Simulate the FSU/Auburn matchup on NCAAGameSim.com
Let's take a look at one simulation on NCAAGameSim.com and see how one game played out first.
Simulation Play-by-Play
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by Tre Mason for 13 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 33 -- Run by Tre Mason for 0 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 33 -- Run by Cameron Artis-Payne for 6 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 4 on Own 39 -- Pass by Nick Marshall incomplete
Down: 4 Distance: 4 on Own 39 -- 42 yard punt by Steven Clark
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 19 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Rashad Greene for 17 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 36 -- Run by Ryan Green for 4 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 6 on Own 40 -- Run by James Wilder Jr. for 1 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 5 on Own 41 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Devonta Freeman for 31 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 28 -- Pass by Jameis Winston incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Opp 28 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Rashad Greene for 28 yds TOUCHDOWN
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Pass by Nick Marshall complete to Quan Bray for 0 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by Cameron Artis-Payne for 12 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 32 -- Pass by Nick Marshall complete to Trovon Reed for 11 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 43 -- Run by Chandler Shakespeare for 7 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 3 on 50 -- Run by Nick Marshall for 13 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 37 -- Pass by Nick Marshall incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Opp 37 -- Run by Nick Marshall for 4 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 6 on Opp 33 -- Run by Cameron Artis-Payne for 19 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 14 -- Run by Tre Mason for 2 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 8 on Opp 12 -- Run by Tre Mason for 4 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 4 on Opp 8 -- Run by Nick Marshall for 8 yds TOUCHDOWN
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Pass by Jameis Winston incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by Karlos Williams for -2 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 12 on Own 18 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Kelvin Benjamin for 38 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 44 -- Run by Devonta Freeman for 6 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 4 on Opp 38 -- Pass by Jameis Winston incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 4 on Opp 38 -- Run by James Wilder Jr. for 4 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 34 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Nick O'Leary for 31 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 3 -- Run by Karlos Williams for 3 yds TOUCHDOWN
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Pass by Nick Marshall incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Pass by Nick Marshall incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by Ricardo Louis for -2 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 12 on Own 18 -- 42 yard punt by Steven Clark
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 40 -- Run by Devonta Freeman for 11 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 49 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Rashad Greene for 29 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 20 -- PENALTY: False Start
Down: 1 Distance: 15 on Opp 25 -- PENALTY: False Start
Down: 1 Distance: 20 on Opp 30 -- Run by James Wilder Jr. for 16 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 4 on Opp 14 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Kelvin Benjamin for 14 yds TOUCHDOWN
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by Nick Marshall for 5 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 5 on Own 25 -- Run by Nick Marshall for -2 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 7 on Own 23 -- Run by Cameron Artis-Payne for 0 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 7 on Own 23 -- 42 yard punt by Steven Clark
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 35 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Kelvin Benjamin for 16 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 49 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Kelvin Benjamin for 32 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 17 -- PENALTY: False Start
Down: 1 Distance: 15 on Opp 22 -- Run by Jameis Winston for 7 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 8 on Opp 15 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Kenny Shaw for 7 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 1 on Opp 8 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Levonte Whitfield for 8 yds TOUCHDOWN
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Pass by Nick Marshall incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by Tre Mason for 17 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 37 -- Run by Corey Grant for 4 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 6 on Own 41 -- Run by C. Grant for 6 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 47 -- Run by Tre Mason for 6 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 4 on Opp 47 -- Run by Corey Grant for 7 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 40 -- Pass by Nick Marshall complete to Sammie Coates for 18 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 22 -- Pass by Nick Marshall complete to Ricardo Louis for 9 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 1 on Opp 13 -- Pass by Jeremy Johnson incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 1 on Opp 13 -- Run by Nick Marshall for 3 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 10 -- Run by Jonathan Wallace for 2 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 8 on Opp 8 -- Run by Chandler Shakespeare for 5 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 3 on Opp 3 -- Pass by Nick Marshall INTERCEPTED
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 3 -- Run by Devonta Freeman for 4 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 6 on Own 7 -- PENALTY: False Start
Down: 3 Distance: 11 on Own 2 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Kenny Shaw for 22 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 24 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Chad Abram for 17 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 41 -- PENALTY: Personal Foul on the Offense
Down: 2 Distance: 25 on Own 26 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Jesus Wilson for 34 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 40 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Kelvin Benjamin for 19 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 21 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Kenny Shaw for 21 yds TOUCHDOWN
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by Chandler Shakespeare for 3 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 7 on Own 23 -- Run by Nick Marshall for 4 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 3 on Own 27 -- Run by N. Marshall for -2 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 5 on Own 25 -- 42 yard punt by Steven Clark
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 33 -- Run by Devonta Freeman for 7 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 3 on Own 40 -- Run by Devonta Freeman for -2 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 5 on Own 38 -- Run by Devonta Freeman for 0 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 5 on Own 38 -- 41 yard punt by Cason Beatty
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 21 -- PENALTY: False Start
Down: 1 Distance: 15 on Own 16 -- Run by Tre Mason for 9 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 6 on Own 25 -- Pass by Nick Marshall complete to Sammie Coates for 14 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 39 -- Run by Tre Mason for -1 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 11 on Own 38 -- Run by Tre Mason for 0 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 11 on Own 38 -- Pass by Nick Marshall complete to Sammie Coates for 14 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 48 -- Run by Jeremy Johnson for 9 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 1 on Opp 39 -- Run by N. Marshall for 15 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 24 -- Run by Cameron Artis-Payne for 5 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 5 on Opp 19 -- Pass by Nick Marshall incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 5 on Opp 19 -- Pass by Nick Marshall complete to Quan Bray for 6 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 13 -- Pass by Nick Marshall complete to Jay Prosch for 4 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 6 on Opp 9 -- Pass by Nick Marshall incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 6 on Opp 9 -- Run by Tre Mason for 4 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 2 on Opp 5 -- Kick by Cody Parkey NO GOOD
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 5 -- Run by James Wilder Jr. for 9 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 1 on Own 14 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Kelvin Benjamin for 42 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 44 -- Run by Jameis Winston for 22 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 22 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Rashad Greene for 22 yds TOUCHDOWN
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by Nick Marshall for 3 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 7 on Own 23 -- Pass by Nick Marshall incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 7 on Own 23 -- Run by Nick Marshall for -1 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 8 on Own 22 -- 42 yard punt by Steven Clark
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 36 -- Run by Devonta Freeman for 2 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 8 on Own 38 -- PENALTY: Offensive Holding
Down: 2 Distance: 18 on Own 28 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Kenny Shaw for 20 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 48 -- PENALTY: False Start
Down: 1 Distance: 15 on Own 43 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Kelvin Benjamin for 34 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 23 -- Run by James Wilder Jr. for 2 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 8 on Opp 21 -- Run by Ryan Green for 4 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 4 on Opp 17 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Nick O'Leary for -2 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 6 on Opp 19 -- Kick by Roberto Aguayo GOOD
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Pass by Nick Marshall incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by Nick Marshall for 3 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 7 on Own 23 -- Run by Tre Mason for 3 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 4 on Own 26 -- 42 yard punt by Steven Clark
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 32 -- Run by Ryan Green for 3 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 7 on Own 35 -- Pass by Sean Maguire complete to Kenny Shaw for 18 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 47 -- Run by Karlos Williams for 1 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 9 on Opp 46 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Chad Abram for -2 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 11 on Opp 48 -- Run by Karlos Williams for 12 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 36 -- Pass by Jacob Coker incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Opp 36 -- Run by Devonta Freeman for -1 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 11 on Opp 37 -- Run by Devonta Freeman for 3 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 8 on Opp 34 -- 41 yard punt by Cason Beatty
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by Tre Mason for 2 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 8 on Own 22 -- Run by Tre Mason for 9 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 31 -- Run by Tre Mason for 6 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 4 on Own 37 -- Run by Tre Mason for 3 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 1 on Own 40 -- Pass by Nick Marshall incomplete
Down: 4 Distance: 1 on Own 40 -- 42 yard punt by Steven Clark
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 18 -- PENALTY: False Start
Down: 1 Distance: 15 on Own 13 -- Run by Jameis Winston for -2 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 17 on Own 11 -- Run by Devonta Freeman for 6 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 11 on Own 17 -- Run by Devonta Freeman for 7 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 4 on Own 24 -- 41 yard punt by Cason Beatty
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 35 -- PENALTY: False Start
Down: 1 Distance: 15 on Own 30 -- Run by Nick Marshall for 9 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 6 on Own 39 -- Pass by Nick Marshall incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 6 on Own 39 -- Run by Nick Marshall for -2 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 8 on Own 37 -- 42 yard punt by Steven Clark
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 21 -- Run by Devonta Freeman for 11 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 32 -- Run by Devonta Freeman for 12 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 44 -- Run by James Wilder Jr. for 0 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 44 -- Run by Jameis Winston for 17 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 39 -- Run by Devonta Freeman for 6 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 4 on Opp 33 -- Pass by Jameis Winston complete to Kenny Shaw for 28 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 5 -- Pass by Jameis Winston INTERCEPTED
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 5 -- Run by Tre Mason for 2 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 8 on Own 7 -- Run by Tre Mason for 8 yds
FSU wins this matchup 45-7. Jameis Winston finishes the game 24-29 passing for 458 yds, 5 TDs, and 1 INT, and was the pretty easy choice for game MVP.
Matchup Simulation Stats
- This game has been simulated 41 times.
- FSU (2014) has won 35 times (85.4%), won by > 20 pts 19 times (46.3%)
- Auburn (2014) has won 6 times (14.6%), won by > 20 pts 0 times (0.0%)
- The average score is FSU (2014): 38.4 - Auburn (2014): 23.0, decided by < 5 pts 8 times (19.5%)
- The game has gone into overtime 1 times (2.4%)
Prediction
FSU 38 Auburn 23
