This afternoon, the Chicago Cubs are looking to upend the St. Louis Cardinals on their home turf, and our GameSim model is backing the Cubs to do just that. While the sportsbooks have pegged the Cardinals as slight favorites with a moneyline of -114, our simulations tell a different story. With a predicted win probability of 50.3% for the Cubs compared to 49.7% for the Cardinals, the scales tip ever so slightly in Chicago's favor.
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