UNC and Michigan State face each other in the NCAA Championship on Monday night in a game that has UNC hoping to win their 2nd championship in the past 5 years. As has been the trend with these computer models, UNC is a 5-8 point favorite to win.
To learn more about the algorithms used, you should check out our original post here.
Win Odds
| Algorithmic Model |  UNC |
 MIST |
|---|---|---|
| Similar Games | 62.6% | 37.4% |
| Predictive Power Ratings | 65.6% | 34.4% |
Expected Win Margin
| Algorithmic Model | UNC |
MIST |
|---|---|---|
| Similar Games | +2.9 | -2.9 |
| Predictive Power Ratings | +3.3 | -3.3 |
| Advanced ASM | +7.3 | -7.3 |
| Simple ASM | +8.2 | -8.2 |
| Simulation | +4.1 | -4.1 |
| Vegas Point Spread | -7.5 | +7.5 |
ATS Cover Odds
| Algorithmic Model | UNC |
MIST |
|---|---|---|
| Similar Games | 53.8% | 46.2% |
Expected Total Points
| Algorithmic Model | UNC |
MIST |
|---|---|---|
| Advanced ASM | 156.9 | |
| Simulation | 152.4 | |
| Vegas Totals Line | 152.5 | |
Over/Under Cover Odds
| Algorithmic Model | UNC |
MIST |
|---|---|---|
| Similar Games | 53.7% Over | |
Projected Final Score
| Algorithmic Model | UNC |
MIST |
|---|---|---|
| Advanced ASM | 82.1 | 74.8 |
| Simulation | 78.3 | 74.2 |
