Ah, the sweet 16...there's nothing like 4 more nights of basketball to get us to the final 4! Two ACC teams remain as Duke takes on Villanova on Thursday night and UNC takes on Gonzaga on Friday night. We'll do a similar post for UNC/Gonzaga either later on today or tomorrow, but for now let's focus on Villanova. Our pals over at Bracket Brains have given us some great information on games this year, and we've been sharing just a little bit with you . We thought we'd do the same for the sweet 16 matchups. So, let's take a look at some predictions for Duke/Villanova...
Win Odds
Algorithmic Model
DUKE VILA
Similar Games
43.3%
56.7%
Predictive Power Ratings
53.3%
46.7%
Expected Win Margin
Algorithmic Model
DUKE VILA
Similar Games
-1.4
+1.4
Predictive Power Ratings
+0.6
-0.6
Advanced ASM
+3.9
-3.9
Simple ASM
+3.8
-3.8
Simulation
+1.4
-1.4
Vegas Point Spread
-2.0
+2.0
ATS Cover Odds
Algorithmic Model
DUKE VILA
Similar Games
42.6%
57.4%
Expected Total Points
Algorithmic Model
DUKE VILA
Advanced ASM
142.5
Simulation
148.1
Vegas Totals Line
148.0
Over/Under Cover Odds
Algorithmic Model
DUKE VILA
Similar Games
53.3% Over
Projected Final Score
Algorithmic Model
DUKE VILA
Advanced ASM
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DUKE
VILA