The smartest bettors don't just pick winners — they find value. We're excited to announce the launch of Value Bet Finder, a new GOLD feature on MyGameSim.com that helps you identify the best betting opportunities by comparing our simulation probabilities against real sportsbook line
What Is a "Value Bet"?
A value bet occurs when the odds offered by sportsbooks imply a lower probability than what our simulations suggest. In other words, it's when the books might be undervaluing a team or outcome.
Example: If our simulations give the Eagles a 58% chance to cover the spread, but the sportsbook odds only imply a 48% chance, that's a potential 10% edge in your favor.
Over time, consistently finding and betting these edges is what separates profitable bettors from the rest.
How Value Bet Finder Works
Value Bet Finder does the heavy lifting for you:
- We run thousands of simulations on every game across NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, College Football, College Basketball, and WNBA
- We compare simulation probabilities to live sportsbook odds on moneylines, spreads, and over/unders
- We calculate the edge — the difference between our probability and the implied probability from the odds
- We rank and display the best value bets so you can see them at a glance
No more manually calculating implied probabilities or cross-referencing odds. We've automated the entire process.
Features at a Glance
- ✅ All Major Sports — NFL, CFB, NBA, MBB, NHL, MLB, and WNBA
- ✅ All Bet Types — Moneyline, Spread, and Over/Under
- ✅ Filter by Edge — Show only 3%+, 5%+, or 7%+ edges
- ✅ Filter by Bet Type — Focus on spreads, totals, or moneylines
- ✅ Date Navigation — Check today's games or review past value bets
- ✅ Clean, Visual Interface — Quickly spot the best opportunities
We use a simple visual system to help you prioritize:
| 🔥 5%+ Edge | Strong Value |
| ⚡ 3-5% Edge | Good Value |
| ⚪ <3% Edge | Marginal |
While no bet is ever guaranteed, games with higher edges represent situations where our simulations suggest the sportsbooks may have mispriced the line.
Why Trust GameSim's Simulations?
Our simulation engine has been running for over a decade, powering predictions across all major sports. We don't just predict winners — we simulate entire games thousands of times, accounting for:
- Team offensive and defensive efficiency
- Pace of play and style matchups
- Player availability and injuries
- Home court/field advantage
- Recent performance trends
The result? Probability distributions that give you a true statistical picture of what might happen — not just a gut feeling.
Who Is This For?
Value Bet Finder is perfect for:
- Sharp bettors looking for data-driven edges
- Fantasy players who want to understand game flow
- Simulation enthusiasts who love the analytics
- Curious fans who want to see how the numbers stack up against Vegas
Important: This feature is for informational and entertainment purposes only. We don't provide betting advice, and past simulation results don't guarantee future outcomes. Please gamble responsibly.
How to Access Value Bet FinderValue Bet Finder is available exclusively to GameSim+ GOLD and PLATINUM subscribers.
Not a GOLD subscriber yet? Upgrade for just $8.33/month (with an annual plan) and unlock Value Bet Finder, Parlay Builder, Customize Teams, and more.
What's Next?We're already working on enhancements to Value Bet Finder, including:
- Historical tracking of value bet performance
- Alerts for high-edge opportunities
- Integration with Parlay Builder to combine value bets
Stay tuned, and let us know what you'd like to see!
Find your edge. Bet smarter. #GameSimKnowsAll
Have feedback on Value Bet Finder? Use the Feedback button on any page or reach out to us directly. We love hearing from our users!
