ACC Conference-Only Tempo-Free Stats: Midseason Edition - SCACCHoops.com
>> Next Article Previewing UNC vs Wake Forest
<< Previous Article ACC Bubble Analysis for February 4, 2013

ACC Conference-Only Tempo-Free Stats: Midseason Edition

   Posted by Tar Heel Fan at  2/5/2013 4:27:18 AM  |  Follow us on Twitter: @scacchoops
Discuss     Bookmark and Share

Halfway through ACC conference play and we're just where everyone expected we'd be, right? Undefeated Miami atop the conference? Surely that's what we were all thinking back in November, wasn't it? Either way, with every team eight or nine games into conference play, the tempo-free statistics (more info here) start to truly reflect the teams. And the first thing they tell us is the offenses aren't as bad as they were two weeks ago:

Tfs_130204o_medium

Don't get me wrong, there are some pretty poor ones, still. But even Georgia Tech, ACC basement dweller and current holder of the Worst ACC Offense crown, has picked it up in the last two weeks. In the Yellow Jacket's defense they started playing slower-tempoed teams not known for their defense, but still. Only three teams saw their offensive numbers decline — Boston College, Clemson and Virginia Tech. Tech and BC are pretty poor teams, but Clemson is a mystery to me. Statistically, they're a slightly worse UNC, but I don't get that vibe at all watching them play. Ken Pomeroy predicts they'll lose their next six games, and I see no reason to doubt him. Expect to see them much lower on these lists in two weeks' time.

The tempo-free stats really make it clear that there are only three good offenses in this conference though, don't they? Remember that Miami was at 0.97 points per possession the last time we looked at these, meaning that in the four games since Reggie Johnson returned, the Hurricanes averaged 1.15 PPP. I don't think they'll run the table in the ACC, but there's really only two teams left on the schedule that can stop them, and that's only because I have a higher opinion of Carolina than I really should.

Tfs_130204d_medium

Miami's so strong because their defense put numbers like the above up every game. That's a defensive rebounding number better than any of the Roy Williams' teams from the last decade, and a shooting defense that tops anything Duke has fielded this century. I don't know if it will hold, but it's been a terrific first half of the season. UNC's defense continues to improve, although their defensive rebounding numbers came down from the abnormally high values of the first four games. Teams aren't making shots on the Heels at nearly the same clip they were before, and UNC has pushed the tempo back up to a at least a respectable number. On the season, Carolina has the 6th-fastest tempo in the country; that their ACC numbers are as low as they are shows how much trouble they're having getting the style of play they want against tougher foes.

Note also that Virginia Tech's defense remains horrible. And UNC still couldn't score on it.

Tfs_130204p_medium

And now the collection of stats focusing on perimeter play. (They are, since I didn't make it clear last time, 3-point attempts per shot attempt, 3-point shooting percentage, the same two categories for a team's opponents, and steals and assists per possession.) Speaking i assists, UNC is surprisingly good at distributing the ball, considering how they struggle to score. They've also really improved their perimeter defense, giving up much fewer threes. State is still playing their "take very few threes but hit them all" strategy, which you think would work in their current stretch of playing the three best perimeter defenses back-to-back-to-back. It hasn't though — the Wolfpack lost to both Virginia and Miami, and beating Duke on the road doesn't look to likely.

Wake Forest seems pretty easy to shoot the three against, however, which when combined with their faster tempo and younger players makes them... well, another Virginia tech. Here's hoping the Heels get over the flu and put up a better performance this time.

 

This article was originally published at http://tarheelblog.com. If you are interested in sharing your website's content with SCACCHoops.com, Contact Us.

 

Post a Comment About this Article
Entry Link     0 Comment(s)
Subscribe  
>> Next Article Previewing UNC vs Wake Forest
<< Previous Article ACC Bubble Analysis for February 4, 2013

Comments on ACC Conference-Only Tempo-Free Stats: Midseason Edition

There are currently no posts for this NewsBreaker


Post a Comment

Posting As:   Remember Me?
Subject:
Message:

Before submitting this form, please type the color of the second character:


Search
Search
Advertisement
 
Poll
Should the ACC change their FB divs to setup a potential FSU/Clemson title game?
Yes
No
Dont Care


Newsbreakers
Brandon Childress Commits to Wake Forest
10/24/2014 10:33:55 PM
UNC at Virginia: Game Preview
10/24/2014 5:53:51 PM
2014-15 North Carolina Tar Heels Basketball Preview
10/24/2014 12:55:02 PM
Wake Forest vs. Boston College: Game Preview
10/24/2014 12:29:55 PM
UNC Basketball Holds First Exhibition Game Tonight
10/24/2014 12:29:01 PM
Does Virginia Tech's 30-6 loss parallel Wake's 30-0 route of FSU in 2006?
10/24/2014 6:08:33 AM
Syracuse Basketball: A Strange Season A Brewing
10/23/2014 1:07:10 PM
What does the NCAA do next after the Wainstein Report?
10/23/2014 12:39:13 PM
Wake Forest to add football series with Appalachian State
10/23/2014 12:38:36 PM
Game Sim's college football week 9 predictions
10/23/2014 11:16:20 AM
Will's Week Nine Predictions
10/23/2014 10:24:53 AM
Wainstein report leaves 'Tarred Heels'
10/23/2014 7:36:34 AM
UNC: Wainstein Report Q&A
10/23/2014 7:35:57 AM
ACC Media Day Player Reps Announced
10/23/2014 7:34:47 AM
UNC: Highlights of the Wainstein Report
10/22/2014 5:50:40 PM
Message Board
 
YBN Widget
RSS Feed  
SCACC Hoops has no affiliation to the NCAA or the ACC
Team logos are trademarks of their respective organizations (more/credits)