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Breaking Down the ACC's Unbalanced Schedule

by WebMaster

Posted: 1/9/2009 5:36:05 AM


Tomorrow the ACC starts conference play more or less, and since the ACC abandoned the round robin scheduling approach it leaves some teams benefiting from easier schedules.  We quantified this a couple years back on our Toughest Schedule page.  Here's a snapshot of the page from today as we go into conference play.

 


 

This page will attempt to quantify which team has the toughest remaining schedule by weighting the teams based on their opponents Pythagorean Winning Percentage. The PWP is a calculation that uses both Offensive and Defensive Efficiency ratings to generate the projected winning percentage against an average schedule.

Weighting Used
Team Pythag Winning Pct
 Boston College  0.81914
 Clemson  0.93001
 Duke  0.96037
 FSU  0.75549
 Georgia Tech  0.75688
 Maryland  0.86876
 Miami  0.90706
 UNC  0.95906
 NC State  0.87356
 Virginia  0.69556
 Virginia Tech  0.69347
 Wake Forest  0.94624


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Toughest Schedules
Team Home Away ACC Games Schedule Points Average
 Georgia Tech  7  8  15  13.15087  0.8767
 Virginia  8  7  15  12.91995  0.8613
 NC State  8  8  16  13.68042  0.8550
 FSU  8  8  16  13.59658  0.8500
 Maryland  8  8  16  13.57577  0.8488
 Duke  7  8  15  12.73478  0.8487
 Wake Forest  8  8  16  13.55932  0.8475
 UNC  7  8
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